Over the past three decades, the two countries have held several rounds of talks on the disputed territory and border crisis between India and China. Despite this, tensions on the border between the two countries have not placated. At least 20 Indian soldiers have been killed in a recent clash between Indian and Chinese troops in the Galoyan Valley on the border with Ladakh. Indian media claim that Indian soldiers were breathed their last because of hitting them with iron rods nailed by Chinese soldiers. This is the most egregious bloody conflict between the two nuclear-armed neighbours in decades.
After 20 army personnel were killed on the Ladakh border, India could not retaliate without banning some Chinese apps due to lack of her prowess. In addition, about 14 per cent of India's total imports come from China. Besides, China's dependence on electronics, car parts, medicines, sports equipment, telecom and many other products is so high that Indian citizens themselves will be harmed if sanctions are imposed there. So it is almost impossible for India to throw away China commercially.
Apart from Bangladesh neighbouring Nepal, Bhutan and Pakistan are stirring up tensions on the China- Indian border. Jammu and Kashmir may also exacerbate. There is internal pressure on the Modi government as well as from neighbouring countries. Opposition parties are incriminating PM Modi and asking his resignation. The Modi government is under pressure overall.
China has adopted a strategy of cornering India by using its neighbour's accumulated distraction. India's long-standing hostile relations with China and Pakistan and India has been directly involved in wars with these two countries at different times. Although friendly relations with Nepal, Bhutan and Bangladesh have been claimed, the question now is how deep really it is.
There are allegations of Indian interference in Bangladesh's internal politics. There is also dissatisfaction among Bangladeshis against India over sensitive issues such as unequal trade facilities and the killing of innocent Bangladeshis by the BSF one after another at the border.
According to, Ain o Salish Kendra (ASK) 21 Bangladeshis shoot to death, 4 tortured to death, 15 injured and 13 abdicated by BSF in (Jan- June 2020). According to statistics, 343 Bangladeshi nationals have been killed by Indian border guards on the Bangladesh-India border in the last ten years. Despite promises from India, none of this has been judged. The brutal murder of Felani Khatun on the Bangladesh- India border in 2011 caused a stir around the world, a case was filed against the accused in the Indian military court then but the trial was not satisfactory.
Any question about India's friendship with Bhutan can grow, could not have been imagined even a few years ago. Bhutan has stopped providing water to farmers in Assam's Baksa district. Water has been flowing into the region from Bhutan through a channel since 1953. Thousands of farmers in about 25 villages depend on that water for cultivation.
Nepal released new maps claiming Lipulekh, Kalapani and Limpiyadhura, the three disputed areas as her own land. A few days ago, two Indian villagers were shot dead by Nepali soldiers on the Nepal border in Bihar. The Nepalese army was accused of dragging an Indian. India may not have even dreamed of that.
On the other hand Pakistan's Prime Minister Imran Khan has directly blamed India for the attack on the Karachi Stock Exchange. There is dissatisfaction among the people living in Jammu and Kashmir after India withdrew Article 370, which grants special status to Jammu and Kashmir. In this turbulent situation, Jammu and Kashmir may also take this opportunity to spread heat.
India has lost its way to bring the Corona situation under control. In this situation, it is very difficult to cope with the strategic pressure of the neighbouring countries. India has focused on increasing its military strength to defend its sovereignty. Additional troops have been deployed along the Ladakh border equipped with heavy weapons.
On the other hand, India has started employing additional troops to Andaman and Nicobar Islands to put pressure on China's activities in the Indian Ocean region as well. India recently imported 2.5 billion worth of military equipment from Russia. China is not far behind. They have been equipped with heavy weapons, including increasing the number of troops at the border. As a result, tension is rising.
The world economy has almost collapsed as a result of prolonged lockdowns during the Corona period. Hunger, poverty, unemployment are on the rise. According to the study, global growth could drop from 2.5 per cent to 2.3 per cent this year. According to economic analysts, the damage to the world economy could exceed 15 thousands trillion. So it is easy to assume that the next time, like the present, will not be very pleasant for us. India is now the world's fifth largest economy, according to the World Population Review 2019, a US-based think tank. The size of their economy is 2.94 trillion dollars. And China's position is second, and fast moving. The size of China's economy is 14.14 trillion dollars. Obviously, the economies of the two countries are a big part of the world economy. If the Sino-Indian war breaks out in such a crisis situation, the people of the entire region will be severely affected economically. As well as creating additional pressure on the world economy.
Both China and India should respect the agreement reached in 1998 and 2005 to stop the use of firearms in the conflict between the two countries. They should resolve issues quickly through dialogue in the interest of maintaining peace and stability in the region.
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